Card counting / 21 the movie?
Let me try to explain my question as best as possible because im really confusing myself at the same time.
In card counting, if the "table is hot" what is preventing the salesperson from getting Aces and tens and the cards you want? For example, if there are 3 players at a table the dealer is getting the fourth set of cards. Now what happen if the card counter sits down at that table in the fourth player seat. Now he is esentially getting the cards the marketer would have gotten, the fourth set. Basically what im asking is that when a table is hot dont you and the dealer own a 50% chance of getting the hot cards and in turn, one and only a 50% chance of winning?
I know im really confused and may be thinking roughly this too in depth but can somebody plase explain what gives you the profit over the dealer when card counting?
Thanks
Answers:
lol.. at first you lost me till i read it again what you said... dealer and players specially in black jack have alike percentage.. but in the case of three ppl and you are maxim that the table was hot then some one sit down .. what happen there within my prospective is house (casino) needed that player to get the dealers cards so that course the house wouldn't keep paying out. normally when you read aloud the table is hot that means the players are winning and not the purveyor... if the dealer was champion and not the players then sometimes ppl will ask others to come n seat to construct the table balance out or someone will seat out for a couple of hand so that way the cards wont be in a same rotation. hoped that help. or i am confused as you in your question lmao .. except i tryed anyways to answer it.
Nothing is preventing the dealer from getting right cards. When the concentration of aces and tens is high the player have a statistical advantage, he is not guaranteed to win. The dealer will seize made hands more often along beside the player, but he will also bust a lot more often when he have a hand of 16 or less. This, combined next to the increased chance of being deal good hands, is why a deck substantial is high cards is good for the player.
You are abosolutely correct in what you are suggesting, the agent is just as likely to be deal those cards as you are, this doesnt effect the advanatge, but it does clearly illustarate how you are not still gauranteed to win each individual hand.
To really explain where on earth the edge comes from, im gogin to have to start from the start of where the hosue edge comes from.
The house turn-up as you likely know comes from the dealer acting after the player, if the player busts, and the provider busts, it is not a tie the hosue wins this single event happens regularly and is what constitutes the plain house edge. This edge happen to be around 7% which is rather large fortunately afterwards comes along several rules the negate the hosue edge like the player get payed 3:2 on blackjack whihc happen about 1:21 hand, the player has the ability to split a hand into 2 hands, and the ability to double down if they aspiration. By taking advantage of every oportunity where splitting and doubleing is mathematically beneificial, the house brim is almost entirely eleminated. You probibly already know about basic strategy, but what im getting at is that the resources to split double and get payed 3:2 is what drastically reduces the house creep.
As the contents of the cards change, two things happen, one human being the dealer busts slightly more often because of the increased presence of card that could create a busted hand.
this is good because when you double down or split, you do so because of the dignified probibility of a win on that particular hand, next to more high cards, the dealer will bust more normally and your doubles and splits will be more successful (FURTHER reducing the house edge) Also, you will have newly formed oportunities to double and split that woudl not own been beneficial to you before, such as splitting tens, and doubling on other totals that you wouldnt in general do if the cards were not biased again further reducing the house edge.
And secondly, and this is the unconcealed one, when there are more aces and tens, yo attain more blackjacks, so does the dealer, but you get payed 3:2, and theres is also a throshold where on earth taking insurance becomes a profitable bet. You get payed 3:2 the seller doesnt, you will get an equal number of blaklcjacks, but you will get more money form hem than the salesperson so getting more of them is better.
Combining all of those effects is how the edge sometimes lies wiht the player, adjectives in all just about 25% of the times are the effects large satisfactory to completely overcome the house edge so that the player is expectig to win, but it does happena dn you can take positive aspect of it and win money.
Let's invent a new game to form it easier for you.
It's called diamonds. I just made it up. It's played next to a deck of regular playing cards. Each player gets a card for $1. If they get a diamond I endow with them $5. If they get any other suit, I take their $1.
Clearly this is a winter sport where the player has the perimeter. There 1/4th of the deck is diamonds, yet I am paying $5 (x5 the stake) for a win.
But what if we play the game until adjectives the cards are dealt out?
You know there are 13 diamonds within the deck right? So as the game progresses, if you count how many diamonds hold already been dealt, you will know when in attendance is a better chance of winning or losing.
So if within the first two rounds ten diamonds are dealt to players, there are very soon only three left contained by the deck. Sure, you might still win, but it would be better not to play until the deck was reshuffled.
Now what if you could bet more and still get to win five times your bet?
Imagine that you be watching all the cards come out and hardly any diamonds be dealt. Imagine that there be just 20 cards left within the deck and ten of them were diamonds (only three diamonds had be dealt so far).
Now you have a 50/50 destiny of hitting a diamond, and remember in my silly game, I payment five time your bet if you hit.
By keeping a note in your person in charge of the fact that the deck is now 50/50 diamonds/losing cards you know that you own an even money chance of winning, and when you win, I recompense you 5x what you bet. So at this point you want to bet the table limit. Let's say specifically $1,000. So you bet $1,000. Half the time you win $5,000. The other half of the time you lose. But if you get to play the winter sport 6 times under these conditions, you are going to on average lose $3,000 and win $15,000. Sound like a virtuous deal to you?
Card counting is rather close to that. By monitoring when the table is hot, there is a significantly greater chance of hitting a blackjack and getting remunerated off. When the table is cold, there is a far greater fortune of losing.
Since blackjack is a little more complex than the card game I a short time ago invented, the method of counting cards is a little more complex. But the concept is similar. When the table is hot, you are certainly not guaranteed to win, and surrounded by fact you may get particularly unlucky and lose a lot. But over time, following all the correct strategy you can surrounded by theory neutralize the small house edge.
Of course nearby are a bunch of other factors at play. Such as the EXACT combination of house rules in that casino. The specific revision of blackjack being offered. Casinos long ago wised up to the concept of card counting. It's not as easy as the movie might net it look. It takes a lot of skill and practice, and even after your edge could easily be as little as 1-2% beside some major variance. It certainly isn't a license to print money. If it be, casinos simply wouldn't spread the game any more.
Let's keep this simple.
ZCT have a good explanation of why and how there are advantages to card counting base on the probabilities of the deck. From your question, you mean a hot deck is one to be exact rich in ten count cards and aces.
Yes, both the hawker and the player have equal chances of getting the "hot cards" contained by a rich deck. Your seating does not apply, since the cards are being deal out of a shoe, and if another player does sit in a seat, afterwards all they are doing is reducing the number of hands that will be deal from the remaing cards in the "hot" shoe, and bringing the new shuffle closer.
All things later being egual, the player has some betting and strategy edict advantages when the deck is "hot". Foremost of these, or course, is the ability to increase your bet under favorable probability conditions. Here is why:
First, there will be more blackjacks, and blackjacks pay the player a premium on his bet, of 3-2.
Second, nearby will be more succesful double downs by the player, since a basic double usually wants a ten count card.
Third, the player have the option to stay on hands that they may customarily bust. Since you know the deck is ten count rich, you may wish to take your likelihood with a 12 or 13 and go against plain strategy by not hitting it.
Fourth, when the dealer shows a 2-6 upcard, you can make your playing edict based on the fact that they are more likley to bust on a hit, since the deck is rich surrounded by tens.
Lastly, you may again go against basic strategy within splits, depending on the pair you get, because again the deck is rich surrounded by tens and aces. For example, some systems will have you split 9's or even tens (this is usually a card counting giveaway when the deck is rich, and usually extremely bad strategy) when the deck is very rich contained by ten count cards and aces.
Good luck at the tables, and don't believe everything contained by that movie, after all, even though is based on a physical event from years ago, it is still a FICTIONAL account! LOL
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In card counting, if the "table is hot" what is preventing the salesperson from getting Aces and tens and the cards you want? For example, if there are 3 players at a table the dealer is getting the fourth set of cards. Now what happen if the card counter sits down at that table in the fourth player seat. Now he is esentially getting the cards the marketer would have gotten, the fourth set. Basically what im asking is that when a table is hot dont you and the dealer own a 50% chance of getting the hot cards and in turn, one and only a 50% chance of winning?
I know im really confused and may be thinking roughly this too in depth but can somebody plase explain what gives you the profit over the dealer when card counting?
Thanks
Answers:
lol.. at first you lost me till i read it again what you said... dealer and players specially in black jack have alike percentage.. but in the case of three ppl and you are maxim that the table was hot then some one sit down .. what happen there within my prospective is house (casino) needed that player to get the dealers cards so that course the house wouldn't keep paying out. normally when you read aloud the table is hot that means the players are winning and not the purveyor... if the dealer was champion and not the players then sometimes ppl will ask others to come n seat to construct the table balance out or someone will seat out for a couple of hand so that way the cards wont be in a same rotation. hoped that help. or i am confused as you in your question lmao .. except i tryed anyways to answer it.
Nothing is preventing the dealer from getting right cards. When the concentration of aces and tens is high the player have a statistical advantage, he is not guaranteed to win. The dealer will seize made hands more often along beside the player, but he will also bust a lot more often when he have a hand of 16 or less. This, combined next to the increased chance of being deal good hands, is why a deck substantial is high cards is good for the player.
You are abosolutely correct in what you are suggesting, the agent is just as likely to be deal those cards as you are, this doesnt effect the advanatge, but it does clearly illustarate how you are not still gauranteed to win each individual hand.
To really explain where on earth the edge comes from, im gogin to have to start from the start of where the hosue edge comes from.
The house turn-up as you likely know comes from the dealer acting after the player, if the player busts, and the provider busts, it is not a tie the hosue wins this single event happens regularly and is what constitutes the plain house edge. This edge happen to be around 7% which is rather large fortunately afterwards comes along several rules the negate the hosue edge like the player get payed 3:2 on blackjack whihc happen about 1:21 hand, the player has the ability to split a hand into 2 hands, and the ability to double down if they aspiration. By taking advantage of every oportunity where splitting and doubleing is mathematically beneificial, the house brim is almost entirely eleminated. You probibly already know about basic strategy, but what im getting at is that the resources to split double and get payed 3:2 is what drastically reduces the house creep.
As the contents of the cards change, two things happen, one human being the dealer busts slightly more often because of the increased presence of card that could create a busted hand.
this is good because when you double down or split, you do so because of the dignified probibility of a win on that particular hand, next to more high cards, the dealer will bust more normally and your doubles and splits will be more successful (FURTHER reducing the house edge) Also, you will have newly formed oportunities to double and split that woudl not own been beneficial to you before, such as splitting tens, and doubling on other totals that you wouldnt in general do if the cards were not biased again further reducing the house edge.
And secondly, and this is the unconcealed one, when there are more aces and tens, yo attain more blackjacks, so does the dealer, but you get payed 3:2, and theres is also a throshold where on earth taking insurance becomes a profitable bet. You get payed 3:2 the seller doesnt, you will get an equal number of blaklcjacks, but you will get more money form hem than the salesperson so getting more of them is better.
Combining all of those effects is how the edge sometimes lies wiht the player, adjectives in all just about 25% of the times are the effects large satisfactory to completely overcome the house edge so that the player is expectig to win, but it does happena dn you can take positive aspect of it and win money.
Let's invent a new game to form it easier for you.
It's called diamonds. I just made it up. It's played next to a deck of regular playing cards. Each player gets a card for $1. If they get a diamond I endow with them $5. If they get any other suit, I take their $1.
Clearly this is a winter sport where the player has the perimeter. There 1/4th of the deck is diamonds, yet I am paying $5 (x5 the stake) for a win.
But what if we play the game until adjectives the cards are dealt out?
You know there are 13 diamonds within the deck right? So as the game progresses, if you count how many diamonds hold already been dealt, you will know when in attendance is a better chance of winning or losing.
So if within the first two rounds ten diamonds are dealt to players, there are very soon only three left contained by the deck. Sure, you might still win, but it would be better not to play until the deck was reshuffled.
Now what if you could bet more and still get to win five times your bet?
Imagine that you be watching all the cards come out and hardly any diamonds be dealt. Imagine that there be just 20 cards left within the deck and ten of them were diamonds (only three diamonds had be dealt so far).
Now you have a 50/50 destiny of hitting a diamond, and remember in my silly game, I payment five time your bet if you hit.
By keeping a note in your person in charge of the fact that the deck is now 50/50 diamonds/losing cards you know that you own an even money chance of winning, and when you win, I recompense you 5x what you bet. So at this point you want to bet the table limit. Let's say specifically $1,000. So you bet $1,000. Half the time you win $5,000. The other half of the time you lose. But if you get to play the winter sport 6 times under these conditions, you are going to on average lose $3,000 and win $15,000. Sound like a virtuous deal to you?
Card counting is rather close to that. By monitoring when the table is hot, there is a significantly greater chance of hitting a blackjack and getting remunerated off. When the table is cold, there is a far greater fortune of losing.
Since blackjack is a little more complex than the card game I a short time ago invented, the method of counting cards is a little more complex. But the concept is similar. When the table is hot, you are certainly not guaranteed to win, and surrounded by fact you may get particularly unlucky and lose a lot. But over time, following all the correct strategy you can surrounded by theory neutralize the small house edge.
Of course nearby are a bunch of other factors at play. Such as the EXACT combination of house rules in that casino. The specific revision of blackjack being offered. Casinos long ago wised up to the concept of card counting. It's not as easy as the movie might net it look. It takes a lot of skill and practice, and even after your edge could easily be as little as 1-2% beside some major variance. It certainly isn't a license to print money. If it be, casinos simply wouldn't spread the game any more.
Let's keep this simple.
ZCT have a good explanation of why and how there are advantages to card counting base on the probabilities of the deck. From your question, you mean a hot deck is one to be exact rich in ten count cards and aces.
Yes, both the hawker and the player have equal chances of getting the "hot cards" contained by a rich deck. Your seating does not apply, since the cards are being deal out of a shoe, and if another player does sit in a seat, afterwards all they are doing is reducing the number of hands that will be deal from the remaing cards in the "hot" shoe, and bringing the new shuffle closer.
All things later being egual, the player has some betting and strategy edict advantages when the deck is "hot". Foremost of these, or course, is the ability to increase your bet under favorable probability conditions. Here is why:
First, there will be more blackjacks, and blackjacks pay the player a premium on his bet, of 3-2.
Second, nearby will be more succesful double downs by the player, since a basic double usually wants a ten count card.
Third, the player have the option to stay on hands that they may customarily bust. Since you know the deck is ten count rich, you may wish to take your likelihood with a 12 or 13 and go against plain strategy by not hitting it.
Fourth, when the dealer shows a 2-6 upcard, you can make your playing edict based on the fact that they are more likley to bust on a hit, since the deck is rich surrounded by tens.
Lastly, you may again go against basic strategy within splits, depending on the pair you get, because again the deck is rich surrounded by tens and aces. For example, some systems will have you split 9's or even tens (this is usually a card counting giveaway when the deck is rich, and usually extremely bad strategy) when the deck is very rich contained by ten count cards and aces.
Good luck at the tables, and don't believe everything contained by that movie, after all, even though is based on a physical event from years ago, it is still a FICTIONAL account! LOL
Related Questions:
How do you arrange 6 coins contained by such a passageway that you enjoy 2 rows near 4 coins within respectively row?
You put two coins on top of each other in the middle. One on top, one on bottom, one on departed, one on right, then two in the middle, one on top of the other. Create a cross using 5...
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